The model
Run the numbers.
Two stripped-down versions of the models I build: levered returns on an acquisition, and how a lender sizes the loan against them. Move any assumption; everything recalculates in your browser. The deal is hypothetical, and none of it is investment advice.
Hypothetical deal24-unit walk-up$12.0M$500K / unit
Scenarios
- Levered IRR
- 7.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.42x
- Year-one cash-on-cash
- 2.5%
- Year-one DSCR
- 1.24x
Negative leverage
The property yields 5.39% on all-in cost, but debt service runs 7.39% of the loan a year. Borrowing drags year-one cash-on-cash to 2.54%, so the return has to come from growth and the exit.
Equity in $5.0M
- Cash flow after debt
- $844K
- Sale, after loan payoff
- $6.32M
- Share from the sale
- 88%
Levered IRR sensitivity
Rows flex NOI growth, columns flex exit cap, everything else held. The outlined cell is your base case. Click a cell to adopt it.
- < 0%
- 0–4
- 4–8
- 8–12
- 12–16
- 16–20
- 20%+
| Growth ↓Exit cap → | 5.25% | 5.50% | 5.75% | 6.00% | 6.25% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.0% | |||||
| 2.0% | |||||
| 3.0% | |||||
| 4.0% | |||||
| 5.0% |
Cash flow to equity
$ in thousands
| Year | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NOI | – | 660 | 680 | 700 | 721 | 743 |
| Debt service | – | (532) | (532) | (532) | (532) | (532) |
| Net sale proceeds | – | – | – | – | – | 6,320 |
| To equity | (5,040) | 128 | 148 | 168 | 189 | 6,531 |